The ValuNation Pulse

THE MARKET IS MOVING IN DIFFERENT DIRECTIONS. VALUATION WORKFLOWS NEED TO KEEP UP.

Mortgage rates have come down slightly since reaching their recent peaks, but the most recent housing data does not indicate a clear trend in the market. Purchase activity, refinancing demand, and new construction are all reacting differently. The practical conclusion for lenders and valuation teams is that capacity and workflow decisions must consider the variety of work, and not just the overall rate.

08

This month

Plan for the mix—not just the rate.

Applications, construction, property type, and loan purpose are sending different signals.

At a glance

Six signals that frame this month’s valuation workflow decisions.

Negative

−0.4%

Total mortgage applications

Week ending August 14, 2026

Negative

−2%

Purchase applications

Week over week; 3% lower than the same week last year

Positive

+2%

Refinance applications

Week over week; still 18% below the same week one year earlier

Neutral

41.9%

Refinance share of applications

Share of total applications

Neutral

$282,200

Average refinance loan size

Lowest level since June 2025

Positive

+5.0%

July building permits

Month over month; starts −12.4%, completions −9.1%

Text + Comparison

Market Analysis

01

Market Analysis

Rates are easing at the margin—but affordability is still affecting behavior

Freddie Mac and HousingWire measure rates differently. Both matter—and neither tells the whole story alone.

On August 20, the average rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage, as shown in Freddie Mac’s Primary Mortgage Market Survey, was 6.65%, a slight decrease from 6.67% the previous week. Although this is a small improvement, the rate situation remains one in which minor changes can influence borrowers'decisions and monthly payment calculations.

On August 26, the 30-year conforming rate listed by HousingWire’sMortgage Rates Center was 6.86%, down 0.06 percentage points. These figures are derived from actual locked loans from borrowers with different credit profiles and are based on real-time data provided through Polly.

The practical point is not to choose one rate series as “the answer.” It is to understand what each measure is telling you. Application-based rates help show the conditions borrowers are encountering when they apply. Locked-loan data can provide a view of pricing activity across loans that have moved further into the process. Together, they reinforce a broader reality: the market can change without every borrower, property, or loan type responding the same way.

Freddie Mac PMMS

6.65%

Average 30-year fixed rate on August 20

HousingWire

Locked-loan rate context

Different methodology and use case

Freddie Mac PMMS

6.65%

Average 30-year fixed rate on August 20

HousingWire

Locked-loan rate context

Different methodology and use case

Freddie Mac PMMS archive

6.65%

Average 30-year fixed rate on August 20

Locked-loan rate context

Different methodology and use case

Text + Three Data Points

Market Analysis

02

Market Analysis

Application activity is active, but selective

Purchase and refinance are moving differently—so the pipeline mix matters more than the headline total.

The Mortgage Bankers Association reported that the total number of mortgage applications decreased by 0.4% during the week that ended on August 14. Purchase applications fell by 2% from the previous week and were 3% below the level reached at the same time last year. Refinance applications rose by 2% from the previous week, even though they were still 18% less than they had been for the same period of the previous year. The average amount of refinance loans also declined to $282,200, which is the lowest figure since June 2025.

The fact that these two elements are combined is important. A slight rise in refinance activity does not necessarily indicate the onset of a widespread refinance trend. A small decrease in purchase applications does not mean every market or property type is experiencing the same slowdown; it simply shows that the pipeline is influenced by borrower economics, loan purpose, credit profile, property characteristics, and local inventory.

For operations teams, the national average is less useful than a clear understanding of the actual order mix. When carrying out capacity planning, it is necessary to consider the various types of files entering the pipeline, not just the total number of applications reported nationally.

Total applications

−0.4%

Week ending August 14, 2026

Purchase

−2%

Week over week; 3% below last year

Refinance

+2%

Week over week; 18% below last year

Refinance share

41.9%

Share of total applications

Average refinance loan

$282,200

Lowest level since June 2025

Total applications

−0.4%

Week ending August 14, 2026

Purchase

−2%

Week over week; 3% below last year

MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey, August 19, 2026

Refinance

+2%

Week over week; 18% below last year

−0.4%

Week ending August 14, 2026

−2%

Week over week; 3% below last year

+2%

Week over week; 18% below last year

41.9%

Share of total applications

Text + Pipeline

Market Analysis

03

Market Analysis

New construction adds another layer to the signal

Permits, starts, and completions are moving at different speeds—and that changes valuation needs.

The July figures for new construction tell a mixed story as well. The U.S. Census Bureau reported that the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits had risen to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.443 million, an increase of 5.0% over the revised June figure. Authorizations for single-family homes increased by 2.5%. At the same time, housing starts fell by 12.4% from the previous month and housing completions dropped by 9.1%.

The distinct stages of the construction process (permits, start dates, and completion dates) can move at different speeds, which means the valuation requirements can also vary. For instance, a lender dealing with anew-construction file will need a different method, a different schedule, a different way of handling property data, or a greater degree of coordination than a lender handling a normal purchase or refinance case.

Which is why new construction should not be considered a minor variation of the standard appraisal procedure since the engagement might include plans and specifications, partially completed improvements, changing market conditions, or the need to coordinate among various parties. The greater the complexity of the file, the more important it becomes to have a clear scope, reliable communication, and a valuation partner with the appropriate coverage.

Permits

+5.0%

Seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.443 million; single-family authorizations +2.5%

Starts

−12.4%

Month over month decline in housing starts

Completions

−9.1%

Month over month decline in housing completions

Permits

+5.0%

Seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.443 million; single-family authorizations +2.5%

Starts

−12.4%

Month over month decline in housing starts

U.S. Census Bureau, Monthly New Residential Construction, July 2026

Completions

−9.1%

Month over month decline in housing completions

+5.0%

Seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.443 million; single-family authorizations +2.5%

−12.4%

Month over month decline in housing starts

−9.1%

Month over month decline in housing completions

Three Priorities

Lenders and Operations

04

Lenders + Operations

What this means for lenders and operations teams

Capacity and workflow decisions need to account for the mix of work—not just the headline rate.

National application data is useful for context, but operational decisions should be informed by the actual mix of purchase, refinance, new-construction, government, jumbo, and alternative-valuation work entering the pipeline.

Not every property or loan requires the same valuation process. Fannie Mae identifies multiple valuation paths, including value acceptance, value acceptance with property data, and hybrid appraisal test cases. The right question is not “How do we use fewer appraisals?” It is “Which valuation approach produces the right level of confidence and information for this file?”

When pipeline mix changes, communication can become a larger source of friction than capacity itself. Clear order requirements, transparent status updates, and an escalation path help teams manage exceptions before they become avoidable delays.

Nationwide supports lenders through appraisal management, alternative valuations, broker price opinions, commercial valuations, new-construction services, and turn-time visibility.

01

Plan for the composition of the pipeline

National averages are context. Plan around the actual mix of purchase, refinance, new-construction, government, jumbo, and alternative-valuation work.

02

Match the valuation path to the file

Fannie Mae identifies multiple paths—including value acceptance, value acceptance with property data, and hybrid appraisal test cases. Match the path to the file.

03

Protect communication and turn times

Clear order requirements, transparent status updates, and an escalation path help manage exceptions before they become delays.

01

Plan for the composition of the pipeline

National averages are context. Plan around the actual mix of purchase, refinance, new-construction, government, jumbo, and alternative-valuation work.

02

Match the valuation path to the file

Fannie Mae identifies multiple paths—including value acceptance, value acceptance with property data, and hybrid appraisal test cases. Match the path to the file.

Fannie Mae valuation test cases

03

Protect communication and turn times

Clear order requirements, transparent status updates, and an escalation path help manage exceptions before they become delays.

Plan for the composition of the pipeline

National averages are context. Plan around the actual mix of purchase, refinance, new-construction, government, jumbo, and alternative-valuation work.

Match the valuation path to the file

Fannie Mae identifies multiple paths—including value acceptance, value acceptance with property data, and hybrid appraisal test cases. Match the path to the file.

Protect communication and turn times

Clear order requirements, transparent status updates, and an escalation path help manage exceptions before they become delays.

Checklist + Resource

Appraisers and Valuation

05

Appraisers + Valuation

What this means for appraisers and valuation professionals

Assignment mix is shifting. Clarity on scope, property characteristics, communication, and standards matters more than ever.

The same market mix creates a more varied assignment environment for appraisers and valuation professionals. Property type, loan purpose, scope, and data requirements may differ significantly from one order to the next.

That makes clarity especially important. The industry is also moving toward more structured appraisal data. Nationwide’s updated UAD 3.6 Mission Control resource explains the shift toward dynamic reporting, expanded property data, and standardized validation, and provides a way for partners to submit questions directly to the team.

Checklist

Confirm the assignment scope and intended use

Confirm intended use before work begins.

Checklist

Identify the property characteristics that require additional support or explanation

Flag characteristics that need additional support.

Checklist

Keep communication clear when conditions, access, or data availability affect timing

Escalate early when timing is affected.

Checklist

Use the available tools and standards to produce complete, defensible work

Lean on available tools and standards.

Checklist

Confirm the assignment scope and intended use

Confirm intended use before work begins.

Checklist

Identify the property characteristics that require additional support or explanation

Flag characteristics that need additional support.

Nationwide UAD 3.6 Mission Control

Checklist

Keep communication clear when conditions, access, or data availability affect timing

Escalate early when timing is affected.

Confirm the assignment scope and intended use

Confirm intended use before work begins.

Identify the property characteristics that require additional support or explanation

Flag characteristics that need additional support.

Keep communication clear when conditions, access, or data availability affect timing

Escalate early when timing is affected.

Use the available tools and standards to produce complete, defensible work

Lean on available tools and standards.

Related resource

UAD 3.6 Mission Control

Nationwide’s updated UAD 3.6 Mission Control resource explains the shift toward dynamic reporting, expanded property data, and standardized validation, and provides a way for partners to submit questions directly to the team.

Visit the Nationwide UAD 3.6 Mission Control resource

Takeaway CTA

Takeaway

06

Closing

The takeaway

Different parts of the market are responding differently at the same time.

The August market signal is not simply that rates moved lower or applications moved higher. It is that different parts of the housing and mortgage system are responding in different ways at the same time.

For lenders, that means operational flexibility matters. For valuation teams, it means the assignment mix matters. And for both, the most useful partner is one who can connect the market context to the right valuation path, coverage, and communication at the file level.

Operational takeaway

Plan for the composition of the pipeline.

National context matters, but capacity decisions should reflect the actual mix of purchase, refinance, construction, government, jumbo, and alternative-valuation work.

UAD 3.6

Mission Control has been updated.

Review timelines, dynamic-reporting guidance, expanded property data, and standardized validation resources.

Visit Mission Control →

Need a conversation?

Connect market context to the right valuation path.

Talk with Nationwide about coverage, assignment mix, turn times, and workflow flexibility.

Talk with Nationwide →

Next step

Talk with Nationwide about matching your valuation workflow to today’s market

Connect market context to the right valuation path, coverage, and communication at the file level.

Contact Nationwide